After Trump’s win, our analysts expect higher growth, higher inflation and higher yields. For investors seeking a higher yield than what US Treasuries currently offer, a reverse on the 10-year US Treasury bond may be attractive.
"The US Treasury market has recently experienced height¬ened uncertainty. Initially, Treasury bond yields fell ahead of the start of the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle, but they have surged since September in anticipation of a ‘Trump sweep’. Indeed, with Donald Trump becoming the next US president, our analysts expect higher growth, higher inflation, and higher yields. For investors sharing this fundamental outlook and seeking a higher yield than what US Treasuries currently offer, a reverse convertible on the 10-year US Treasury bond may be worth considering.
With this fundamental background in mind, our econo¬mists expect an increase in 10-year US Treasury yields in 3 months and in 12 months. At the same time, the US Federal Reserve is expected to continue on its rate-cut¬ting path, especially since the Trump administration is likely to challenge high interest rates.
In this environment, our structured-product experts have put a reverse convertible on the 10-year US Treasury bond in subscription. This product offers an attractive yield pick-up compared to the underlying 10-year US Treasury bond and a small margin of safety via the strike yield, which is above our expectation for the 10-year US Treasury yield in 12 months’ time. At maturity, if the underlying’s yield remains below the strike yield, investors will receive the initial capital and benefit from a shorter duration compared to holding the underlying bond directly. Alternatively, if the underlying’s yield is above the strike yield and the investor receives physical delivery of the underlying 10-year US Treasury bond, the investor’s port¬folio will be enhanced with a stable income security of the highest quality that could act as a valuable hedge against potential economic downturns. "
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